First Alert Weather Day: Strong-to-severe storms expected Wednesday into Thursday across Midwest and Southern U.S.
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The National Weather Service (NWS) has officially issued a First Alert Weather Day for 12 states across the U.S. Midwest and South, effective from 12 p.m. CT Wednesday through 8 a.m. ET Thursday, as a powerful cold front collides with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico to trigger widespread strong-to-severe storm activity. According to the latest forecast update from the NWS Storm Prediction Center, the first wave of storms will form over western Arkansas and southern Missouri by early Wednesday afternoon, bringing initial threats of large hail up to 2 inches in diameter, equal to the size of a golf ball, and damaging wind gusts reaching 70 mph, enough to knock down tree limbs, tear roof shingles and cause localized power outages that could last for hours in some rural areas.
As the storm system shifts eastward into the late afternoon and evening hours, atmospheric conditions will grow increasingly favorable for rotating thunderstorms, raising the risk of tornadoes across western Kentucky, central Tennessee, and northern Alabama. Meteorologists warn that a small number of these tornadoes could reach EF-2 strength or higher, with winds exceeding 110 mph, posing a severe threat to mobile homes, poorly constructed buildings, and people caught outdoors during the event. Local officials have already notified residents of mobile home communities to arrange shelter with family or friends in permanent structures, or to pre-register for nearby public storm shelters before Wednesday noon.
Overnight Wednesday into early Thursday, the storm line will continue moving east across the Ohio Valley and Southeast, bringing sustained heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches across most affected areas, with isolated pockets seeing up to 6 inches of rain in a 3-hour window. This heavy precipitation will create a high risk of flash flooding in low-lying neighborhoods, urban areas with poor drainage, and areas near small streams and rivers. The NWS has already issued pre-emptive flash flood watches for 37 counties across 7 states, with formal warnings expected to be activated as storms move into each region.
Local emergency management agencies are urging residents in high-risk zones to complete severe weather preparations by Wednesday morning: residents are advised to stock at least 3 days of non-perishable food, drinking water, flashlights, portable chargers, and a battery-powered weather radio in their emergency kits, and to identify a safe interior room or basement to take shelter in if a tornado warning is issued for their area. Travelers are also advised to avoid non-essential road trips during the storm window, as flooded roads and flying debris pose major safety hazards. The First Alert Weather Team will provide live updates every 90 minutes across all broadcast and digital platforms, and will push immediate notifications for any new warnings issued for local communities.
Featured Comments
As a resident of middle Tennessee who went through the 2023 March tornado outbreak, I’m already prepping my emergency kit and keeping my weather radio charged all day. Everyone in the high-risk zone, please don’t ignore these warnings—even a 10-minute heads-up can save your life.
Our school district has already adjusted Wednesday’s after-school activities to end 2 hours early, and we’re sending notifications to all parents to pick up their kids before the storm hits. We also have storm shelters set up in every school building in case the storms arrive earlier than expected.
Our local emergency response team has pre-positioned water, first-aid kits and rescue equipment in high-risk counties. We’re also coordinating with local shelters to open their doors 2 hours before the storm is projected to arrive, so anyone who doesn’t have a safe place to stay can come in advance.
I commute between Arkansas and Missouri for work every Wednesday, so I just rescheduled all my in-person meetings to Thursday afternoon. The last thing I want is to get stuck on the highway when the hail and strong winds hit, it’s just not worth the risk.