Key keywords: Yankees vs Orioles prediction, 2024 MLB game picks, Orioles moneyline odds, Yankees run line bets, MLB today betting tips, AL East matchup odds, Aaron Judge prop bets, Baltimore Orioles playoff seeding Today’s American League East showdown between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards carries massive stakes for both squads, making it one of the most anticipated regular-season finales of the 2024 MLB campaign. The Orioles, who already locked up their second consecutive AL East title last week, need a win today to secure the No. 1 overall seed in the American League, guaranteeing them home-field advantage through the entire AL playoff bracket including the World Series if they advance. The Yankees, meanwhile, hold a 1-game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays for the second AL Wild Card spot; a win today eliminates any tiebreaker scenarios and sends them straight to the Wild Card series next week, no matter the result of Toronto’s game against the Boston Red Sox. Per leading sportsbooks DraftKings and FanDuel, pre-game odds as of this morning list the Orioles as -135 moneyline favorites, with the Yankees coming in at +115 underdogs. The run line sits at Baltimore -1.5 (+175) and New York +1.5 (-110), while the total runs over/under is set at 8.5, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. The pitching matchup is a battle of two of the hottest arms in the league down the stretch. The Yankees will send left-hander Carlos Rodón to the mound, who enters tonight with a 13-7 record and 3.24 ERA on the season. Over his last 5 starts, Rodón has posted a dominant 2.18 ERA, striking out 38 batters over 33 innings and allowing just 4 home runs, holding opposing hitters to a .198 batting average. He has faced the Orioles twice this season, posting a 2.81 ERA and limiting Baltimore’s lineup to a .620 OPS. The Orioles counter with rookie right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, the front-runner for the AL Rookie of the Year award, who carries a 16-4 record and 2.78 ERA into the contest. Rodriguez has been unbeatable at home this year, going 5-0 with a 1.97 ERA over his last 6 starts at Camden Yards, and he holds a 3.00 ERA in two starts against the Yankees in 2024. On offense, the Yankees have been red hot over the last 10 games, averaging 5.7 runs per contest, led by AL MVP candidate Aaron Judge, who has crushed 7 home runs, driven in 15 runs and posted a 1.240 OPS over that span. The Orioles’ balanced lineup has averaged 4.9 runs over their last 10 games, powered by first baseman Ryan Mountcastle, who is hitting .368 with 4 home runs in that stretch. Both teams’ top-tier bullpens (Orioles 2.89 ERA, 3rd in MLB; Yankees 3.12 ERA, 7th in MLB) are expected to be active early to protect critical leads. Our top picks for today’s game are: first, the Yankees +1.5 run line at -110, as the two teams are evenly matched and even a narrow Orioles win would still cash this bet. Second, the under 8.5 total runs, as both starting pitchers are in peak form and bullpens will be deployed aggressively to avoid unnecessary runs. Third, the prop bet for Aaron Judge to record at least one extra-base hit at -120, as Judge has hit .500 with two extra-base hits in 6 career at-bats against Grayson Rodriguez.