Ricky’s 2024 Roland Garros Day 2 Tennis Picks: Full Preview, Predictions and Odds Including Andrey Rublev vs Enrico Dalla Buse
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As one of the most trusted independent tennis pundits covering the ATP and WTA tours, Ricky’s annual Roland Garros daily pick series has become a go-to resource for casual fans and sports bettors alike ahead of each day’s play, and his 2024 Day 2 lineup is headlined by the highly anticipated first-round clash between 5th seed Andrey Rublev and Italian qualifier Enrico Dalla Buse.
Rublev heads into this year’s French Open in the best clay-court form of his career, coming off his first ever Masters 1000 title at Monte Carlo earlier this spring and a semi-final run at the Rome Masters just two weeks ago. The Russian’s ferocious forehand and improved lateral movement on red clay have silenced many critics who once wrote him off as a hard-court specialist, and Ricky notes that his mental toughness has also taken a clear leap forward this season, after years of repeatedly falling short in Grand Slam quarterfinal matchups. For 26-year-old Dalla Buse, the match marks his first ever appearance in a Grand Slam main draw, after he fought through three tough qualifying matches last week, dropping only one set across the entire qualifying run. The Italian left-hander has spent most of his career on the ATP Challenger Tour, where he has built a reputation as a scrappy clay-court competitor with a solid serve and sharp cross-court backhand. But Ricky points out that the gulf in experience between the two players is impossible to ignore: Dalla Buse has never faced a top 10 opponent in his professional career, and the pressure of playing on a Grand Slam show court in front of thousands of fans is likely to lead to clusters of unforced errors early in the match. Ricky’s official pick for the Rublev vs Buse matchup is Rublev winning in straight sets, with a predicted scoreline of 6-3, 6-4, 6-2.
Beyond the headliner, Ricky’s Day 2 picks also include predictions for 10 other first-round matches across men’s and women’s singles. For the women’s draw, Ricky is backing 3rd seed Coco Gauff to beat Russian qualifier Erika Andreeva in straight sets, noting that Gauff’s defensive speed and counterpunching skills on clay are perfectly suited to handle Andreeva’s aggressive baseline play. He is also picking 6th seed Ons Jabeur to beat French wildcard Alice Robbe in two tight sets, acknowledging that Robbe will have the vocal support of the home crowd but arguing that Jabeur’s Grand Slam big-match experience will carry her through in the key deuce and tiebreak moments. On the men’s side, Ricky is predicting a mild upset win for American qualifier Brandon Nakashima over 22nd seed Sebastian Baez, pointing out that Nakashima has had a stellar clay-court season on the Challenger Tour and Baez has struggled with noticeable inconsistency since his win at the Córdoba Open earlier this year. All of Ricky’s picks are based on a weighted combination of recent form, head-to-head records, surface-specific performance stats, and intangible factors like crowd support and injury history, making them far more reliable than generic odds-based predictions for casual fans and bettors.
Featured Comments
Great picks Ricky! I’ve been betting on your Roland Garros predictions for three years running and you’ve got a nearly 70% win rate on your main draw picks. I was on the fence about Rublev vs Buse, but your breakdown of Rublev’s improved mental game this season is exactly what I needed to lock in my bet for a straight sets win.
As an Italian tennis fan, I’m obviously rooting for Enrico Dalla Buse to pull off the shock upset, but even I know he’s facing an almost impossible task against Rublev right now. I’m just hoping he can take at least one set to make his first ever Grand Slam main draw appearance feel like a win, even if he doesn’t take the match overall.
Thank you for including the Nakashima vs Baez pick! I’ve been watching Nakashima play on the Challenger circuit all spring and he’s been playing the best tennis of his career on clay, so I’m shocked most other pundits are writing him off. It’s nice to see an expert that actually pays attention to lower tour results instead of just looking at seed numbers.
Do you have any insight into Rublev’s fitness heading into this match? I heard he had a minor wrist issue during his practice session earlier this week, so I’m a little nervous about betting on him to win straight sets. Would love to see an update if you have more info!