Has Ukraine’s Zelenskyy created a rival by sacking his defence minister?
Key keywords: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Oleksii Reznikov, Ukraine Defence Minister sacking, Ukrainian wartime political rivalry, Rustem Umerov, Ukrainian anti-corruption reforms, NATO military aid for Ukraine, 2024 Ukrainian domestic politics, post-war Ukrainian presidential election
In September 2023, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced the dismissal of then-Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov, framing the move as part of a broader push to root out systemic corruption in the country’s defence sector, after a series of high-profile scandals over inflated prices for military rations and non-transparent procurement contracts emerged. Reznikov, who had led the defence ministry through the first 18 months of Russia’s full-scale invasion, was widely credited with building close working relationships with NATO defence officials and securing billions of dollars in military aid that kept Ukrainian forces equipped on the front lines. At the time of his dismissal, Zelenskyy’s administration insisted the decision was not personal, and that Reznikov would be reassigned to a diplomatic role, a promise that was never fulfilled.
Over the past 10 months, Reznikov has remained in the public eye, making regular appearances on Western media outlets, speaking at international security conferences, and openly commenting on gaps in Ukraine’s military strategy, slow delivery of Western aid, and what he describes as “uneven implementation” of anti-corruption reforms in the defence sector under his successor Rustem Umerov. Recent polling conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology shows Reznikov now holds a 47% national approval rating, making him the third most popular public figure in Ukraine, behind only Zelenskyy (62% approval) and Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi (71% approval). Unlike Zaluzhnyi, who has repeatedly stated he has no interest in pursuing political office, Reznikov has refused to rule out running in Ukraine’s next presidential election, which is scheduled to take place six months after the end of martial law.
Political analysts in Kyiv note that Reznikov’s cross-partisan appeal, reputation for competence among Western allies, and lack of involvement in recent corruption scandals linked to the presidential office make him a far more formidable potential rival to Zelenskyy than any existing opposition leader, most of whom have seen their support collapse since the start of the invasion. While Zelenskyy still holds a comfortable lead in hypothetical head-to-head polling against Reznikov, that gap has narrowed by 18 points since the start of 2024, as public frustration over stalled counteroffensive progress and persistent corruption grows. Some allies of the president have already begun openly criticizing Reznikov in pro-government media, accusing him of using his wartime record to advance personal political interests at the expense of national unity. For his part, Reznikov has repeatedly stressed that his priority remains supporting Ukraine’s war effort, but has declined to push back against growing calls from some voter groups to announce a presidential run once the war ends.
Featured Comments
As a Kyiv-based political analyst, I’ve watched Reznikov’s public profile rise steadily since his dismissal. His close ties to Western defence officials and unblemished wartime reputation make him a far more credible challenger to Zelenskyy than any other opposition figure, especially as public frustration with slow counteroffensive progress and corruption scandals grows.
From a Western policy perspective, Reznikov was a far more reliable partner for coordinating military aid flows. If he chooses to run for office in post-war elections, he will almost certainly receive quiet backing from EU and US officials who are frustrated with Zelenskyy’s inconsistent approach to anti-corruption reforms.
I voted for Zelenskyy in 2019, but I’m disappointed by how he handled the defence ministry scandal. Sacking Reznikov to cover for failures inside his own party was a cheap political move, and I’d definitely consider voting for Reznikov if he runs for president after the war ends.
It’s absurd to frame Reznikov as a “rival” right now. Ukraine is in the middle of an existential war, and public political infighting only benefits Russia. Both Zelenskyy and Reznikov should be focused on defeating the invasion, not jockeying for power in future elections.